Week 4 in the CFL was another strange week with the road team winning all four games. It really seems like home field advantage may be overrated in the CFL this season. I went 2-2 with my week 4 picks, which brings my CFL record for the season to 7-9. Hopefully you guys are doing better than me, but I’m looking to at least get back to even after this week.
Calgary Stampeders @ Winnipeg Blue Bombers
- Calgary -5
- Winnipeg +5
Calgary has had a rough start to the season with a 1-1-1 record to kick things off after a 14-4 2015. That said, Calgary has had a fairly tough schedule with a loss in BC to kick things off in week 1 and a tie to the Redblacks in Ottawa in week 3. Calgary destroyed the Blue Bombers 36-22 at home in week 2 and now they’re coming off a bye week which should ensure they have the right game plan in place to get another win against the Bombers this week on the road.
Play: Stampeders -5
Ottawa Redblacks @ Saskatchewan Roughriders
- Ottawa -6
- Saskatchewan +6
The Redblacks look like the real deal this year. They’re now 3-0-1 and that includes games against arguably the two top teams in the league in the Eskimos and Stampeders. To top things off the Redblacks are 3-0 on the road this season, which was the one area of their season they had trouble with last year.
Saskatchewan is off to the same start they had last year going 0-3 to start the season. They are once again keeping a lot of the games close, which makes it difficult to take the road team as 6 point favourites, but Ottawa has done nothing to make me think they won’t put up another big score against Saskatchewan this week. Ottawa has put up 129 points in 4 games and I think they will scorch the bottom feeding Roughriders this week to go undefeated in 5 to start the season.
Play: Redblacks -6
Hamilton Tiger-Cats @ Edmonton Eskimos
- Hamilton +4.5
- Edmonton -4.5
The defending champion Eskimos at home as only 4.5 point favourites against the Ti-Cats? That seems like a great bet to me on the surface. The Eskimos are 2-1 to start the season, with their only loss coming in week 1 to the league leading Redblacks. Since then they’ve had a couple of very close games against bottom feeding teams in the Roughriders and Blue Bombers only beating these two teams by a combined 7 points. There’s the reason this spread is only 4.5 points.
That said, I haven’t been impressed by the Ti-Cats this year. Yes, they went in to Montreal last week and lit up the Alouettes 31-7, but they’ve also lost to the Blue Bombers and Lions at home. Hamilton is also heading into their bye week which can also produce a let down game while the players look ahead to a week break.
Play: Eskimos -4.5
Montreal Alouettes @ Toronto Argonauts
- Montreal +6.5
- Toronto -6.5
I have not been impressed by either the Alouettes or Argonauts this season. They have both somehow managed to be 2-2 teams at this point in the season, but I see them both as under .500 teams at the end of the year.
Montreal beat the Argos 22-15 in Montreal in week 1 and even though the Alouettes have lost two weeks in a row, I still see this game going either way. I’m going to take the points and hope for a tight game.
Play: Alouettes +6.5