Last week each of my running back targets finished in the mid teens. That’s not horrible for the lower priced guys I was on like Blount and Riddick, but paying up to a guy like DeMarco Murray you need at least mid 20 point action for him to be a good play in your lineup.
This week every NFL team is in action, but with the three Thanksgiving games on Thursday, the Sunday slate is close to what it has been the past few weeks.
Anyways, let’s get into my running back targets for the week.
Also, be sure to check out our QB stack plays for the week.
David Johnson ($8900)
Johnson is the most expensive player on the entire slate this week. When he was $8400 against the 49ers a couple weeks back he was still the chalk play and his price has even gone up since then. I think this has the makings of a shootout game against the Falcons and I don’t think the Cards have a lot of faith in Carson Palmer right now, which means they will go with a run heavy attack featuring David Johnson and also use him a lot as a check down option out of the backfield. The short passes should reduce the number of picks thrown by Palmer and we all know what Johnson can do with the ball in his hands.
The Falcons are 2nd worst in the league against opposing running backs and I think this is a great spot for Johnson to be featured for the entire 60 minutes because the Falcons should be able to score against Arizona as well. I think high 20’s is a very reasonable expectation for DJ. Pay up and find value elsewhere.
Melvin Gordon ($7000)
I think you can pay up to Gordon as well this week. He’s on the road and very pricey, but he’s really emerged as a great option for the Chargers as a reciever out of the backfield with 4+ catches each of the last four weeks. The Texans are 28th in the league DVOA against opposing running backs through the air so I expect Gordon to have plenty opportunities to catch the ball this week and make big plays in space. Add in the 20+ carries Gordon is sure to get and he has a very safe floor with a huge ceiling. Let’s not forget that he had 39.1 DK points two weeks ago against a very strong Titans run defense and 36.1 four weeks ago on the road in Atlanta.
Low(er) Owned Tournament Play
Bilal Powell ($4600)
Powell isn’t as cheap as he was earlier in the season, but this increase in price will keep his ownership percentage very low even though he’s in a great spot at home against the Patriots. I expect the Pats to run away with this game and that will force the Jets to throw the ball often. Enter Bilal Powell who has emerged as the passing down back for the Jets this season. The Patriots are ranked 25th in the league DVOA against receiving backs on the season and I could see Fitzpatrick throwing a lot to Powell in this game as the coaches try to keep Fitz from turning the ball over in this one.