Last week I hit the nail on the head with my Mark Ingram play for just $4800. He was my low-ownership tournament play and he went off for a massive 34.1 DK points last Sunday (he was also only 7.4% owned). The chalk play was Charcandrick West, so I had to include him, but he only ended up with 10.4 points, while being 50% owned. Paying up to Le’Veon Bell also didn’t pan out for me, with him only managing 13 DK points on the day. One out of three isn’t good enough so hopefully I’ll find some better plays this week.
And be sure to also check out our QB stacks for this week.
David Johnson ($8400)
Playing against the 49ers DK has really jacked up the price on David Johnson, bumping it from $7700 in his last game to $8400 this week. That said, I think he’s almost a plug and play this week against San Francisco. The 49ers have now given up 248, 249 and 313 rushing yards in the past three weeks. That’s simply ridiculous. Even if David Johnson only plays half the game he’ll have a huge week and the Cards have really been giving him a lot of touches of late so I think he has the chance to just go crazy this week.
Last week Ingram went off for 34.1 DK points while sharing the RB role with Tim Hightower who ended up with 17.2 DK points himself.
I’m hoping the price scares some people off Johnson, but I don’t expect it. That said, he’s still a must play for me.
Jordan Howard ($6000)
Howard had a monster game in week 8, going off for 33.2 DK points against a very strong Vikings defense. He also received a lot of praise from both his head coach and the running back coach after this game, which makes it seem like he will be the feature back moving forward as long as he continues to play well. This week he gets a great matchup against a Bucs team that has allowed over 100 yards rushing in each of their last four games and is also 28th against RB’s through the air according to FootballOutsiders.com.
Even though the Bears are on the road, I think with Cutler at QB this team opens the field up significantly, which allows Howard to find more holes in the running game. The Bucs have also allowed 43 and 30 points in their last two games, both at home, so I’m not too concerned with their defense in this spot.
Low(er) Owned Tournament Play
Andre Ellington ($3500)
The 49ers run defense is so bad that I see a lot of merit in playing Ellington in this spot. I expect the Cardinals to get a big lead in the second half, which will likely result in them giving David Johnson a bit of rest and allow Ellington to pick up some big DK points in garbage time. As I mentioned in the David Johnson write up the 49ers have given up an average of 270 rushing yards over the past 3 games and if he can lay claim to some of these and maybe add a touchdown he will easily pay off his salary and could be in for a big game.
It’s not outrageous to considering using both Johnson and Ellington in the same lineup considering what running backs have done against the 49ers of late (Ingram + Hightower = 51.2 DK points, Rodgers + Barber + Smith = 41.4 DK points, and McCoy + Gillislee 45.3 DK points). That said, I’m looking at Ellington as more of a pivot off of Johnson to differentiate my lineup. He will likely get enough points to pay off his salary and if Johnson does somehow get injured you could put yourself in an amazing spot with this play against the field.
Ready to set your lineup? Click here to visit DraftKings.com.
Whether you pay up or down this week, I think you need to have one of the Cardinals running backs in your lineup this week.