It was a very successful week 1 for my NFL betting picks. I went 4-0 correctly taking the Jets, Jaguars, Chargers and Lions all plus points. They were all tight games, with the Lions being the only team that actually won, but that’s the beauty of spread betting. The Jets, Jags and Chargers were all being given points and kept the game inside the spread, which meant a great week for myself.
I’m hoping to build on this perfect week with some more solid picks in week 2.
Kansas City Chiefs @ Houston Texans
The Chiefs were not able to stop the run game of San Diego last week, giving up 146 yards on the ground to the tandem of Woodhead and Gordon. The Texans showed last week that they are willing to stick with the run and I’m expecting Lamar Miller to get a lot of touches this week. I’m a big believer in Miller and expect him to have a big game at home this week against this suspect Chiefs run defense.
Osweiler also had a very good week 1 even if it may not show up in the stats. He’s showed chemistry with rookie Will Fuller and of course DeAndre Hopkins is always a threat to score multiple touchdowns in a game.
Add in the Texans quality defense and I really like this Houston team this year. KC pulled out a somewhat lucky come from behind win at home last week against a depleted Chargers team. They won’t have the same luck on the road this Sunday.
Play: Texans -2
Tennessee Titans @ Detroit Lions
The Lions offense looked very solid last week in a shootout win over the Indianapolis Colts. That said, the Colts also had a very slow start and once they found their groove Andrew Luck looked like he could pick the Lions defense apart. This is going to be an issue for the Lions moving forward, as they aren’t going to be able to put up 39 points against every team this season. In fact, I consider the Colts to have the worst defense in the league.
That said, the Titans don’t have a ton of offensive weapons, but there seems to be a great chemistry between Marcus Mariota and rookie Tajae Sharpe developing, while Delanie Walker is always a big threat in the red zone. Dwayne Allen and Jack Doyle combined for 3 TD’s for the Colts in that game, so the Lions are susceptible to tight end touchdowns, which could lead to a big game from Delanie Walker.
Add in the fact that the Titans defense is very strong against the run (31 yards on 19 carries for AP last week) and I expect the Lions offense to look quite one dimensional.
Overall, I just think the 6 point spread is too much for this game. No matter how this game plays out, whether it’s a shootout through the air, or a low scoring battle, I expect it to be a close game.
Play: Titans +6
Jacksonville Jaguars @ San Diego Chargers
The Jaguars actually looked fairly good defensively against Aaron Rodgers and the Packers last week. They lost the game by 4 points, but they beat the spread and I’m on them once again in week 2.
I expected this to be a pick’em game due to the Chargers losing Keenan Allen to injury last week. Without Allen the Chargers receiving options are very limited and Danny Woodhead is probably their biggest threat in the passing game. I expect the Jaguars improved defense to really show through in this game, as the Jags should be able to shut down the Chargers run game, and outside of that Philip Rivers simply doesn’t have enough weapons to move the ball through the air.
I also like the Jags to win this game straight up, which has odds of 2.60 at SIA at the moment.
Play: Jaguars +3 (2.00)
I’m sticking with those 3 plays this week. Check out our NFL betting page to learn more about how to bet on the NFL online.