NFL Week 3 Spread Betting Picks 2018

I went 1-1 with my spread picks in week 2, which brings my season record to 2-3 through two weeks.  I was spot on with my assessment of the Chiefs.  They pulled away from the Steelers early, but needed to continue piling on the points with their high powered offense after the Steelers started airing the ball out and racking up some points of their own.  I wasn’t as spot on with the Bills.  They actually only ended up losing the game to the Chargers by 11 points, which isn’t all that far away from the +7.5 point spread I bet them at, but they were never really in the game after going down 28-6 in the first half.

I will be using for all of the spreads and picks below.  You can see our full SIA review here.  I have 2 picks this week.

New York Jets @ Cleveland Browns

  • New York +3.5
  • Cleveland -3.5

The Browns snatched defeat from the jaws of victory in New Orleans last week.  The Browns had ample opportunities to win the game, but a few missed kicks brought back all of the negative feelings for Browns fans.  The team put forth a very solid defensive effort in New Orleans, where defense is often forgotten, but the offense also still had trouble moving the ball at times and some key missed extra points and field goals cost the Browns the game.  The Browns defense looks solid, but I’m not at all sold on the team as a whole being able to get the job done in key moments.  Winning breeds winning and the Browns have not won a game in years.

The Jets looked awesome in their week 1 shellacking of the Lions, but the Jets stumbled last week, losing at home to Miami.  The Jets could not move the ball on the ground and although Darnold still played ok, the two interceptions and lack of first half productivity didn’t really give the team a chance to win.  That said, I like the Jets to bounce back this week.  Darnold will be looking to show the Browns what they could have had if they selected him instead of Baker Mayfield this past spring, and I think the Browns will have a lot of trouble moving the ball against this Jets defense as well.

Give me the Jets to beat this spread and likely even win this game to keep the Browns out of the win column once again.

Play: Jets +3.5

New Orleans Saints @ Atlanta Falcons

  • New Orleans +3
  • Atlanta -3

The Saints have not looked good at all in their first two games.  They got lit up by the Bucs and then really should have lost to the Browns after having a lot of difficulty moving the ball.  Those games were both at home as well, where New Orleans generally has a lot of success.

The Falcons lost a tight battle with the Super Bowl Champion Eagles in week 1 and then bounced back with a nice home win over the Panthers.  I still think this Falcons team is one of the better squads in the league and I expect them to show that this week.

Tevin Coleman looked good as the lead back last week and I think between him and Julio the Falcons offense should be able to put up points against the Saints.  I’m also just not convinced this Saints offense is that great.  They rely a ton on Michael Thomas and Alvin Kamara and if the Falcons can shut down either one of those guys the Saints will be in trouble.

Look for Atlanta to prove they’re a top team in this league with a dominant win over the Saints.

Play: Falcons -3

New York Giants @ Houston Texans

  • New York +6
  • Houston -6

The Texans are 0-2 to start the season, but I still think this is a very solid Houston team.  They lost by a touchdown in New England and then by a field goal in a hard fought game in Tennessee.  This week they get to play at home against the lowly Giants and I expect DeShaun Watson to have a solid game along with Fuller and Hopkins.

The Giants are also 0-2 to star the season, but unlike the Texans, I think that’s simply because they’re not very good.  The Giants have played two offenses that aren’t the greatest through the air, but I think this week they will struggle to stop the passing game of the Texans.  I also do not expect the Giants O-line to give Manning nearly enough time to make good throws to keep pace in this one.

The Texans should run away with this one.

Play: Texans -6

Tagged With :

One Response to “NFL Week 3 Spread Betting Picks 2018”

Leave a Comment