US Open week is here. This years edition of the major will take place at Shinnecock Hills Golf Course in Long Island, New York. The fairways are much wider than a typical PGA Tour event, which favours long hitters who are really able to attack their drives.
Dustin Johnson is the rightful favourite this week, but with so many top players playing terrific golf this year, there are a lot of players with a shot to win the tournament. The long hitters should have an advantage at Shinnecock, and you will notice that my plays are all powerful drivers of the golf ball.
I’m using the best odds available for each player from any of our top rated betting sites, which I’ve listed in the table below.
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Dustin Johnson 10.00
When DJ is on top of his game he’s the best player in the world. Based on last weeks dominant performance at the St. Jude Classic, where DJ ran away from the field posting a -19 to win the tournament and reclaim the #1 ranking in the world, I’d say DJ is at the top of his game. He’s the rightful favourite in this tournament and I do think there is value at 9/1.
Johnson won the US Open in 2016 and finished T2 in 2015 and T4 in 2014. His game generally sets up very well for the difficult US Open courses and I expect the same at Shinnecock Hills. When you consider the fact he had odds of 8.50 for last years US Open, and that was coming off his back injury, you start to realize that there is truly value in DJ even at these short of odds.
Johnson is the only player in the field who I really think could run away with it this week.
Jon Rahm 21.00 @ SportsInteraction.com
The other player I like among the favourites is Jon Rahm at 20/1. Rahm plays a similar game to Johnson and at 23 years old he’s already considered one of the best players in the world. The next step for Rahm is to win a major and really start to be talked about with the DJ’s, Spieth’s and Thomas’s of the world. Rahm finished in 4th at the Masters this year, which shows me his game is ready to evolve and he’s ready to produce on the biggest stages. It’s only a matter of time before Rahm wins a major and at 20/1 I think he has great value here.
Let’s not forget that Rahm already has two wins in 2018 and is ranked #4 in the world. I think his odds are somewhat longer than they should be based on his poor US Open performance last year, but a lot of top end players had trouble figuring out Erin Hills last year.
Bubba Watson 62.00 @ SportsInteraction.com
After a very lackluster 2017, Bubba has found his game in 2018 and is once again playing the type of golf that can win him a tournament any given week. He finished T5 at this years Masters, which shows me his game is back where it should be and he’s ready to compete for majors this year. Bubba won both the WGC-Match Play and the Genesis Open in 2018, so he’s no stranger to lifting trophies this year.
If Bubba can find his top gear then he should be a factor in this tournament. Bubba is the type of golfer who is boom or bust, but that’s exactly the golfer you want to be betting on to win tournaments. At these odds I think there is value in Bubba if the course fits his eye.
Gary Woodland 179.00 @ SportsInteraction.com
My punt play for the US Open is Gary Woodland at very long odds. Woodland is another golfer who has the ability to go low. He’s not been playing well of late, but he seems to have found something in his game at the Memorial where he finished T23 and would have done much better if it wasn’t for a blow up 75 in round 3.
Woodland won the Waste Management Open this year and quickly lost his game, which tends to happen to some players after a win. Leading into that Waste Management tournament, Woodland was playing great golf, and if the Memorial result is to be trusted, he could have his game rounding into form at the perfect time heading into the US Open.
At 178/1 I think the value is there on Woodland. He may not have his best stuff, but if he does he could be in the hunt on Sunday.