The UFC is coming back to Canada this Saturday, with a Cerrone vs Gaethje fight night event in Vancouver. This is a massive fight, especially after Khabib maintained the lightweight title at UFC 242 last Saturday. The winner of this main event fight will be right there in title contention in the lightweight division.
I have picks for the main and co-main event below. I’m using the best odds available from our top rated betting sites for Canadians.
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Donald Cerrone vs Justin Gaethje
I think Cerrone is being overlooked in this fight. Let’s not forget that Cowboy is 10-2 in his last 12 lightweight fights with his only losses coming to RDA in a title fight, and most recently Tony Ferguson, who I think is the best lightweight on the planet. This includes wins over Al Iaquinta, Alexander Hernandez, Benson Henderson, Eddie Alvarez and Edson Barboza. Cerrone is an elite lightweight and he only loses to the best of the best.
I’m not convinced that Gaethje falls into that category. Yes, Gaethje is an exciting fighter who is coming off of two impressive knockouts, but let’s not forget his two wars with Poirier and Alvarez, where he came up on the short end of the stick getting knocked out after a ton of damage.
As long as Cerrone can deal with the leg kicks I think he will be able to tune Gaethje up on the feet. Cerrone generally gets better as fights go on as well, so as long as he can survive the early flurries from Gaethje, I think he will find his rhythm and start picking Justin apart.
Cerrone is a perennial underdog who seems to always get the job done. He’s been the underdog in each of his last 5 fights and he has wins in 3 of them. Stop underestimating this guy. He’s an elite lightweight.
Play: Cerrone 2.75 @ BetOnline.ag
Glover Teixeira vs Nikita Krylov
Glover is getting up there in age at 39 years old, but I still think he has the style that can handle Krylov. Glover still has terrific grappling, as shown by his two submission wins this year over Roberson and Cutelaba. If he can get into a grappling match with Krylov on the mat or against the fence, I think he has a great chance to add another submission victory.
Krylov is a dynamic striker, but he really only finishes lower level fighters. He finished OSP in his last fight, but Saint Preux was super gassed and should have probably finished Krylov himself earlier in the fight.
I just think Glover is still a level above Krylov, even with his advanced age.
Play: Teixeira 1.95 @ Bodog.eu