The Players Championship is considered the 5th major on the PGA Tour. All of the best players in the world will be at TPC Sawgrass this week and I expect the majority of them will be treating this tournament like a major. There is prize pool of $10.5 million, which has been the highest on the PGA Tour until it was eclipsed by the $12 million up for grabs at last years US Open. There’s also a five-year exemption on the PGA Tour, three-year invitation to each of the Grand Slam tournaments and 80 world ranking points up for grabs (the most of any tournament outside of the majors).
I’m going to be focusing on current form this week and also look at players who have the ability to make birdies because it’s going to take a low score to win this week.
Below I’ve provided my 4 favourite picks for the outright winner of The Players. If you followed my Masters 4-pack you will have hit the nice 50/1 on Patrick Reed, so hopefully we can hit another nice pay day this week.
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Dustin Johnson 18/1
If DJ is 18/1 I’m taking him any chance I get. In my opinion he’s still the best golfer in the world and if he gets hot he can run away from the field, even if it includes all of the best players in the world. DJ hasn’t been as dominant this year, but he’s still playing some solid golf and seems to be right on the verge of another big win. He’s played 7 tournaments this year, finishing top 20 in every single one and winning the Tournament of Champions at the beginning of the year.
DJ has not performed well at The Players in the past with only one top 25 in nine appearances, but I still can’t overlook these odds. I will happily take these long odds on the world #1 and I expect him to put it together this week to keep that #1 ranking.
Zach Johnson 66/1
Zach has quietly put together a decent year so far. He finally broke the top 10 for this first time in 2018 with a 5th place finish at the Valero Texas Open last month and it seems like his game is rounding into form. He’s T3 in proximity tee-to-green, #1 in par 3 scoring and has 6 top 20’s at TPC Sawgrass in 13 tries. Everything looks like it’s coming together nicely for ZJ and at these odds I think he’s a solid play, especially considering his experience winning big tournaments in his career.
Chesson Hadley 100/1
Hadley is on the verge of something big as well. He has finished top 20 in his last five tournaments and is dropping in birdies at a very solid pace, which should pay of at TPC Sawgrass. He’s T11 in proximity, which should set him up for a lot of chances on this course. At 100/1 I think he’s a great punt play.
Adam Hadwin 110/1
Hadwin is another guy who is playing very solidly for a long time. He’s finished top 25 in 6 straight tournaments and if his putting gets going he could be a real threat this week. 110/1 is simply far too long of odds for a guy who has the ability to go very low on any given round and the consistency to put four solid rounds together on the PGA Tour.
Plus, we need to be on him when our top Canadian adds another PGA Tour win to his list of career wins.
***Check out our how to bet on The Players in 3 steps article for a straight forward tutorial on how to get your bets placed this week.