The PGA Championship is headed to Bellerive Country Club this week for the final major of the professional golf season. Dustin Johnson is the favourite this week and rightfully so, but I think there are some other better value plays, even among the top dogs.
This weeks golf course is a long par 70 of 7,329 yards. This means there are plenty of very long par 4’s and players are going to have to hit good (and long) shots off the tee to have reasonable approaches from the fairway to get to some greens in regulation. The course also favours a right to left tee shot with the vast majority of holes requiring a draw. I think this will play a big factor and I’ve included it in what I’m looking for with my plays.
For my picks I will be using the best available odds from any of our recommended sportsbooks.
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Justin Thomas 14/1 @ SportsInteraction.com
JT is coming off a huge win at the WGC-Bridgestone Invitational last weekend. Some players fade the week following a big win, but based on his past wins over the last two seasons, Thomas is a player who can stay focused and remain hot for about a month after a win. He even went back to back with wins at the Tournament of Champions and Sony Open in January of 2017. After his PGA Championship win last season he stayed hot and finished T6 at the Northern Trust and then won the Dell Technologies Championship. This year the “staying hot” trend has continued with a win at The Honda Classic being followed up with a 2nd place finish at the WGC-Mexico Championship and then a 4th place finish in the WGC-Match Play. I’m confident Thomas will stay hot and be in the mix on Sunday this week.
Thomas is also a big hitter who can get a lot of distance off the tee and shape his shot from right to left when called upon. This should be a big help in shortening this course and giving JT plenty of attacking options over the 18 holes.
Bubba Watson 59/1 @ SportsInteraction.com
Bubba is a guy who plays well on specific courses that fit his eye. He hasn’t had a ton of success at majors outside of The Masters. This includes missing the cut at both the US Open and The Open Championship after a 5th place finish at The Masters this year, but both the US Open and The Open had very difficult conditions to deal with. Bellerive Country Club golf course looks to be in great condition and the rain early in the week should make this a scoreable golf course. The main defense of the golf course is the length on some of these par 4’s, but Bubba has the huge tee shot to shorten these holes. Add in the fact that most of the difficult holes require a big right to left tee shot and I think this course should fit Bubba’s eye very nicely.
Bubba has won 3 tournaments already this year. He isn’t coming into this week with the greatest of form, but he also didn’t generally go into those tournaments he won with the best of form. For Bubba it’s more about the course and how it sets up for him. I think this week Bubba should like the setup, which should give him a real chance to win.
Phil Mickelson 100/1 @ Bodog.eu
Mickelson at 100/1 is a great punt opportunity. Phil has won the PGA Championship in the past (2005) and has a whole slew of top 10’s. He’s quietly been playing some pretty solid golf over the past two months without really getting into the hunt on a Sunday.
Mickelson went 6 under at the 2008 BMW Championship, which is really the only course history players have at the Bellerive Country Club. At the tournament the course played 400 yards shorter and was a par 71 vs this years par 70. I think the added distance should help Phil this week because it was mostly short hitters at the top of the leaderboard in 2008.
At this price Phil is a steal in my opinion.
Ollie Schniederjans 300/1 @ Bodog.eu
For the big punt of the week I’m going with Ollie Schniederjans. Ollie missed the cut at the RBC Canadian Open two weeks ago, while still making 15 birdies for the most birdies of anyone in the first two rounds. Ollie has the talent to put up solid golf scores if he can avoid the 4 or 5 hole stretches that have kept him from becoming an elite player to this point in his career.
That said, at 300/1 Ollie is a great punt play. His play fits this golf course and if he can stay out of trouble and drain some putts I don’t see any reason why he couldn’t be in the hunt on Sunday.
How To Bet On The PGA Championship in Canada
Now that you’ve got my four picks, I’ll quickly explain how to place a bet if you’re new to sports betting online.
***Bet365.com has a great promotion for the PGA Championship where each-way bets pay out the top 8 positions rather than the usual top 5. Because of this I will be using Bet365 as sportsbook in this 3 step guide. Here’s our full Bet365 review.
***Bet365 doesn’t allow me to list their odds in my articles because they can be outdated. That said they will have similar odds to the ones listed for each of my picks above.
Step 1. Open a Bet365.com Account
First thing’s first, you’ll need to open an online betting account. Click on the above link and then select ‘Join Now’ on the Bet365 homepage to create a new account.
Bet365 is the most popular and respected sportsbook worldwide, so they’re a great option for those of you looking to open a first sports betting account.
Step 2. Deposit
Next you’ll need to bankroll your account in order to have funds with which to bet on the PGA Championship. Bet365 accepts Visa, MasterCard, Entropay, InstaDebit, iDebit and paysafecard deposits from Canadian players.
Your first deposit at Bet365 is eligible to receive a 100% matching bonus up to $200 in bet credits. After making your first deposit you will receive an offer code via email. In order to claim your bonus you must enter this offer code in the members section of your Bet365 account. Make sure you enter the code because the bonus is a great offer. You just have to jump through that one hoop to get it.
Step 3. Place Your PGA Championship Bets
At the Bet365 website you should select ‘Golf’ from the left sidebar. This will bring up all of the golf betting options avialable for the PGA Championship. Taking a quick glance at Bet365 while I’m writing this I see around 40 bets that you can make on this tournament alone! The ‘To Win Outright’ betting option is first available in the top left, but then you also have head to heads, first round betting, top 10 finish, and much more.
Check out our golf betting section for a more detailed breakdown of some of these various wagers you can make.
If you have any questions drop me an email. Ready to bet? Click here to visit Bet365.com