I wasn’t able to make up any ground towards finishing the season .500 last week. I had the Jets +3, so I felt pretty good about it with the Jets up 35 -20 heading into the 4th quarter, but the defense fell apart and the Packers ended up covering the spread in overtime. That has to be the worst type of beat. When you took the points and are good after regulation, but the added time allows the bet to lose. I had a bet like this in the NBA on Christmas Day as well, with the 76ers +4.5 and the Celtics forcing OT and then covering the spread. You’d much rather your team just lose in regulation in those spots. Anyways, the Vikings covered and I finished the week 1-1, which brought my season record to 15-20-2.
I’m using SportsInteraction.com for all of the spreads and odds for my NFL picks this season. You can see our full SIA review here. I’m sticking with 2 picks this week seeing as my chance at getting back to .500 is pretty much gone.
Dallas Cowboys @ New York Giants
- Dallas +6
- Giants -6
I like the Cowboys to win this game. Yes, it’s a meaningless game for Dallas, but this is a spot where they can keep momentum heading into next weeks wild card game.
The Giants will be without OBJ and I don’t see New York putting up many points against the Dallas defense, even at home, and against some backups.
Yes, the Cowboys priority won’t be winning this game, but that doesn’t mean they aren’t still the better team, and one that will look to continue to play well heading into the playoffs.
I think it’s too easy to fade teams who are locked into their playoff position.
Play: Cowboys +6
Cincinnati Bengals @ Pittsburgh Steelers
- Cincinnati +14.5
- Pittsburgh -14.5
This is an absolutely monster spread for this game. Yes, the Steelers are in a must-win situation, they are the better team and they are at home, but 14.5 points is a massive spread. Let’s not forget this is a divisional game and the Bengals will be trying to go out with a bang and spoil any chance the Steelers have.
The Bengals have been awful in the second half of the season, but I’m still not convinced this team is bad enough to be giving up 14.5 points to a Steelers team that has lost 4 of their last 5 themselves.
The Bengals have only won 1 of their last 7 games, but of these 6 losses they’ve only lost by more than 15 once, and that was against the Saints. In the entire season, the Bengals have lost by more than 15 just twice, against the Saints and Chiefs when both teams offenses were clicking.
I think the Bengals will be up for this game and I’m not convinced it’s going to be quite the walk in the park this line indicates.
Play: Bengals +14.5