The Jaguars came through for me down the stretch, scoring the final 10 points of their game with the Colts to lose by 3 resulting in a push on my +3 bet. It would have been nice if they won the game, but based on the 29-16 half time score, I was happy with the push. The Redskins came through in my other play this past week, winning their game against the Bucs after going in as 2.5 point underdogs. Those two plays from last week bring my season record to 9-14-2 against the spread.
Pittsburgh Steelers @ Jacksonville Jaguars
- Pittsburgh -5.5
- Jacksonville +5.5
I’m going back to the Jags this week as big underdogs at home. Jacksonville got off to a bad start in Indianapolis this past week, but they were able to rally in the second half and came back to within a field goal. This team has now lost 5 in a row, but I’m still not convinced they are as bad as their record indicates. I still think this defense is one of the best in the league, especially at home, and I think the offense will improve with Fournette back with a game under his belt.
The Steelers absolutely destroyed Carolina last week, and they are playing some great football. That said, I expect the Jags to be able to slow down this high powered Steelers offense. The Jags should be able to slow down the Steelers passing attack, and I’m still not convinced that James Conner will be able to hurt the Jags enough on the ground.
Overall, I expect the Jags to have a big performance in this one, slowing down the Steelers offense and putting up enough of their own points to at least keep this one close. Taking the Jags to win at odds of 2.90 is another play that I’m interested in.
Play: Jaguars +5.5
Minnesota Vikings @ Chicago Bears
- Minnesota +3
- Chicago -3
Chicago looked great last week, but that was against a Lions team that is in complete disarray right now. The Bears were able to get to Matthew Stafford consistently and Mitchell Trubisky was able to move the ball with relative ease against the Lions defense.
The Bears and Vikings are both coming off of relatively easy wins over the Lions. The difference is that the Vikings are coming off a bye week and they will have had this game circled on their calendar because it’s an absolutely massive game for top spot in the NFC North.
The Vikings have been inconsistent this season and the Bears have looked good on their current 3 game winning streak, but I still think the Vikings are the more complete team. They have more weapons on offense and I’m expecting their defense to make life very difficult for Trubisky on Sunday.
I’m expecting the cream to rise to the top in this game and the Vikings to get a big road win to launch them into top spot in the division.
Play: Vikings +3
I prefer taking the points in both of these games, but especially in the Minnesota game where the money line is only 2.25 for a Vikings win.