I’m writing this article after the Sweden win over South Korea, but before the Belgium vs Panama game. With the Sweden win my record now sits at 5-3 for +6.39 units to this point in the tournament, but that doesn’t include the final two matches from June 18th.
Like always, I will be using the best odds available from any of our three recommended betting sites for Canadians. The odds can change leading up to the match so be sure to compare odds for yourself before placing your wagers.
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Colombia vs Japan
- Colombia 1.69
- Draw 3.84
- Japan 6.00
If you read yesterday’s post you will know that I’m not high on the Asian countries chances at this World Cup. This includes Japan who only narrowly finished ahead of Saudi Arabia and Australia in their AFC qualifying group. Japan put together a nice win over Paraguay in their final tune-up match for the World Cup, but they lost 2-0 to both Switzerland and Ghana in their other tune-up matches and they tied Mali and lost to Ukraine, two non-World Cup teams back in March. I’m not expecting much from Japan in this World Cup.
On the flip side, I think Colombia is a contender. Qualifying out of South America is all I need to know that the team is quality. Then add in elite offensive talents like James Rodriguez and Radamel Falcao, and I expect Colombia to be able to find the back of the net at least once or twice against Japan in this match.
Play: Colombia 1.69
Poland vs Senegal
- Poland 2.35
- Draw 3.25
- Senegal 3.58
This is a tricky game because I’m not convinced Poland is as superior of a team to Senegal as many seem to think. African nations often surprise at the World Cup and I think Senegal could be that team this year. That said, I do still expect Poland to find a way to win this match.
Senegal doesn’t have an elite offensive team and I don’t think they will be able to completely shut out Lewandowski and company in this match. Poland should find a way to create chances in this match and I expect them to find the back of the net, while keeping Senegal to 0 or 1, which should earn Poland the win.
Play: Poland 2.35
Russia vs Egypt
- Russia 2.10
- Draw 3.30
- Egypt 4.00
Russia had a good performance in the first match, but it wasn’t the dominant performance that the 5-0 scoreline indicates. Russia scored two of those 5 goals in extra time and Saudi Arabia actually controlled the possession (62%) for most of the game. If Russia doesn’t score that early goal 12 minutes in, this could have been a much different game. Saudi Arabia was forced to open up and Russia took advantage and ran up the score.
Egypt is a much more organized team in the defensive end as they showed in their heartbreaking 1-0 loss to Uruguay, where a goal in extra time by Urugauy was the difference between Egypt earning an important point in that match. Mohamed Salah will play this match for Egypt and that gives them the offensive threat they were missing against Uruguay.
I actually think Egypt is the more quality team in this match with Salah in the lineup. They will know that they need a win because having just 1 point entering a final match with the powerhouse Uruguay team is not a position Egypt will want to be in. Egypt has to win this match and they will play that way.
I really like Egypt to find a way to beat the home team and really make Group A interesting moving forward.
Play: Egypt 4.00
Again, these odds can change leading up to the matches, so be sure to check and compare the odds for each match yourself before placing your bets.