I was away on vacation last week, so I wasn’t able to get my normal picks article up for the short 3 game slate. That said, I had a solid 3-1 week 4 to get into the profit with a 5-3 record on my picks so far this season.
Saskatchewan Roughriders @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats
- Saskatchewan +11
- Hamilton -11
The Riders and Ti-Cats both had week 5 off, which means they both have had two weeks to game plan for this rematch of the week 4 game that the Roughriders won 18-13 in Saskatchewan. The Riders had a bounce back performance in that game after losing at home to the lowly Alouettes the previous week, but I don’t expect the same level of prep and intensity from Saskatchewan this week on the road in Hamilton.
On the flip side, Hamilton will be looking to get revenge on Saskatchewan and get back into the win column. Coach June Jones will have had two weeks to fix any errors the Ti-Cats made in their game in Saskatchewan and get his team pumped up to defend their home field. I expect Hamilton to run away with this one.
Play: Ti-Cats -11 (1.95)
BC Lions @ Ottawa Redblacks
- BC +6.5
- Ottawa -6.5
I think this is a potential let down spot for the Redblacks. They were just destroyed 27-3 at home last week by the Stampeders. You know the Redblacks were up for the game and ready to defend their home field against the best team in the league, so it can be very demoralizing to be humiliated like that. I don’t expect the Redblacks to find the motivation to get up for this game against a very average Lions team.
BC is coming off a big win at home over the Blue Bombers and they will be confident and read to improve upon their 0-2 road record when they head to Ottawa. I’m expecting the Lions to get out to a lead in this game and even if Ottawa storms back, the Lions should still be able to cover this 6.5 point spread.
Play: Lions +6.5 (1.95)
Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ Toronto Argonauts
- Winnipeg pk
- Toronto pk
Winnipeg is a lot better than their 2-3 record may indicate. They are a team that is +48 through their 5 games this season, with 2 of their losses coming by just a field goal against Western Conference rivals. The Bombers are coming off a 3 point loss to BC last week and I fully expect them to be ready to play this Saturday in Toronto.
On the flip side, I also think the Argos are better than their 1-3 record and -40 point differential indicates. They are coming off a positive home and away against the Eskimos in weeks 4 and 5 where they split the home and away, but only lost 16-15 in Edmonton last week. The Argos defense is really coming together and I still think this team will make the playoffs and have the chance to defend their title.
This should be a tight game, but I think the Argos have to be favoured to defend their home field. Winnipeg’s offense has not been great away from home this season outside of their 56-10 shellacking of the Alouettes in week 2. I think Toronto will be able to hold Winnipeg to under 20 points and score just enough themselves to pull out the win.
Play: Argonauts pk (1.91)
Montreal Alouettes @ Calgary Stampeders
At the time of this article there is no betting line available for the Alouettes vs Stampeders game. The worst team in the league is on the road to play the best team in the league, so this is going to be a massive spread. I expect a spread of around 17 points, and I still think the Stampeders would likely cover.
That said, I won’t be making a documented play on this game because I’m not sure I will make it back to this article to add my pick.