My CFL Playoff picks did not start off too well, with both the Alouettes and Stampeders dropping their games at home in the semi-finals. I took both favourites, so I’m already 0-2 in the playoffs and will need a couple wins this week to have a chance at profit through the playoffs. Including the regular season I’m now 33-26-2 with CFL picks this season.
I will be using the odds from SportsInteraction.com for my picks throughout this years CFL playoffs. They are our top rated betting site for Canadians and they are actually partnered with several CFL teams this season. Check out our full SIA review here.
Edmonton Eskimos @ Hamilton Tiger-Cats
- Edmonton +4.5
- Hamilton -4.5
I generally like the home team in the CFL Playoff Divisional Finals. In the last 10 Division Finals the top seeded home team has won the game and advanced to the Grey Cup. This is a crazy stat and I think it shows just how big of an advantage a bye week combined with home field advantage is for teams in the CFL Playoffs.
The Ti-Cats will be well rested and coming into this game with a 9-0 home record on the season. Everything favours the Ti-Cats in this game, and I fully expect them to take advantage of the benefits they earned throughout the season and bring their A-game this week.
I was very surprised to see the Ti-Cats as only 4.5 point favourites in this game. Let’s not forget that the Eskimos were only 2-7 through the second half of the season. Yes, they looked pretty good in Montreal last week, but that was against an average CFL team at best. Now they are facing the league leading Ti-Cats and they are only 4.5 point underdogs. I think there is recency bias influencing that line with the Eskimos win last week fresh on peoples minds.
I will happily take the Ti-Cats -4.5 in this spot and I fully expect this bet to win.
Play: Tiger-Cats -4.5
Winnipeg Blue Bombers @ Saskatchewan Roughriders
- Winnipeg +4
- Saskatchewan -4
This is another spot where I expected the Roughriders to be bigger favourites. They have all of the advantages that come with winning the division, but they are only 4 point favourites because the Bombers looked solid in Calgary last week.
In reality, Bo Levi Mitchell had an awful game throwing 3 picks and finishing with just a 42.9% completion percentage. The Bombers defense played well, but their offense still leaves a lot to be desired.
The Riders were 8-1 at home this season, while the Bombers were just 3-6 on the road (4-6 if you include the playoff win). I think the Saskatchewan defense will be able to shut down the Bombers offense. The Roughriders should be able to put up 20+ points, which I think will be enough to win the game and cover the spread.
Play: Roughriders -4