I hit my running back plays big time in week 7. DeMarco Murray had another solid week with 24.7 points, while Jacquizz Rodgers, who was only $4300 easily paid off his price tag with 20.3 DK points. Those two were the big time chalk plays though, with Murray at 41.7% and Rodgers at 39% in the Milly Maker. That said, I also provided David Johnson, as a lower owned pivot play, and he did turn out to only be owned by 8.7% of the lineups in the Milly, while still going off for 28.1 fantasy points.
The Milly Maker lineup had both Murray and Rodgers last week, and hopefully I can get you guys on the correct running backs once again this week.
Also check out our QB to receiver stack plays article.
David Johnson ($7700)
How do you not continue to go back to the David Johnson well now that he’s killing it every week. Last week’s 28.1 DK points were against the Seahawks in a 6-6 game. That’s a ridiculous amount of points on a team that couldn’t even score a TD on the game. Yes, he did have the extra 15 minutes to add to his touches, but still, 41 touches in a game is just a ridiculous amount.
Before that game, Johnson scored 37.8 and 36.5 fantasy points in his previous two outings.
Johnson’s salary is still far too low given his opportunities. Johnson will once again be a big part of the Cardinals offense against the struggling Panthers.
Jacquizz Rodgers ($5800)
It looks like Doug Martin will remained sidelined once again, and if that’s the case, I’m back on Jacquizz Rodgers in the Tampa Bay backfield. He went ham against last week for 154 rushing yards, with the 100 yard barrier broken by half time. He was prevented from having a monster game by only catching one ball and not getting in the end zone, but he still broke 20 DK points without either of these big point producing elements of the game.
This week I’m not sure he will once again break the 100 yard plateau, but I do expect him to be used more in passing situations. The Raiders are 25th in the league against receiving backs according to FootballOutsiders.com and as bad the 49ers defense is that Rodgers tore apart last week, they are actually ranked #9 against RB’s through the air, which may have been why he only caught one ball last week.
I think 100 yards on the ground, with 5 catches for 50 yards and a TD is definitely in the realm of possibilities this week. That would put Rodgers around the 30 point number, which would have him as a top RB this week.
Low(er) Owned Tournament Play
Devonta Freeman ($6500)
I really like Freeman in tournaments if Tevin Coleman is unable to go. The Falcons running game has been killing it all season long and Freeman has continued to have big games even while sharing the backfield with Coleman. If he becomes the feature running back in this game his ceiling goes through the rough, even though he’s up against the Packers, who have given up the least DK points to RB’s this season.
The Packers have a very solid run defense, but they are susceptible to great running games. Just two weeks ago, Ezekiel Elliott and the Cowboys went off for 157 rushing yards on 28 attempts against the Packers, which shows it is possible to run on this team. The Falcons don’t have quite as strong an O-line as the Cowboys, but the way they’ve been able to run the ball this season makes me think they will be able to continue to do so at home against the Packers. Freeman also catches the football, which keeps him relevant in the offense even if they can’t fully establish the run. The upside is there for Freeman.
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I’ll likely be paying up to these three running backs this week, which means I will have to find some value elsewhere.